Dagaalka ka socda Ukraine ayaa beddelay xasilloonidii amni ee Yurub. Inkastoo hadda loo arko in weerar toos ah oo NATO lagu qaado uusan dhoweyn, haddana su’aasha weyn ayaa taagan: Haddii Ruushku guul qayb ah ka gaaro Ukraine, ma suuragal baa inuu markaas indhaha ku jeediyo dalalka Galbeedka?
Qaar ka mid ah khubarada milatariga ayaa ka digaya in aan la dhayalsan awoodda ciidamada Russia, iyagoo sheegay in xaaladdu si degdeg ah isu beddeli karto.
Khubaro: “Ha dhayalsanina Ruushka”
Sönke Neitzel, oo ah taariikh-yahan milatari oo Jarmal ah, ayaa ku sheegay wareysi uu siiyay warbaahinta Bild in la iska indho-tiray khatarta Ruushka ay tahay khalad weyn.
Neitzel wuxuu yiri:
- In la yiraahdo Ruushku ma halis gelin doono NATO sababtoo ah waxqabadkiisa Ukraine ma fiicna – waa aragti “si buuxda u qaldan”.
- Dagaalladu ma raacaan xeer toosan (linear logic).
- Mustaqbalka dagaal lama saadaalin karo si la hubo.
Tani waxay muujinaysaa in khubaradu aysan ku kalsoonayn qiimeynta hadda jirta ee oranaysa weerar NATO ka dhan ah ma dhici doono.
Haddii Ruushku guul gaaro – maxaa xigi kara?
Su’aasha ugu weyn waa:
Haddii dagaalka Ukraine ku dhammaado si Ruushku u helo guul istiraatiiji ah, maxaa dhici kara?
Qaar ka mid ah suurtagalnimada la falanqeeyay waxaa ka mid ah:
- Cadaadis milatari oo lagu saaro dalalka Bariga Yurub
- Weerar cyber (internet & kaabayaasha)
- Dagaal xuduudeed oo kooban
- Tijaabo ku wajahan midnimada NATO
Dalalka sida Poland, Estonia, Latvia iyo Lithuania ayaa marar badan lagu xusay inay noqon karaan meelaha ugu nugul haddii xiisaddu korodho.
NATO ma iska difaaci kartaa?
NATO waa isbahaysi milatari oo ay ku mideysan yihiin 30+ dal. Qodobka 5-aad ee heshiiska NATO wuxuu dhigaya in weerar lagu qaado hal dal loo arko weerar lagu qaaday dhammaan xubnaha.
Faa’iidooyinka NATO:
- Awood dhaqaale iyo mid milatari oo ka weyn Ruushka
- Hub casri ah iyo tiknoolajiyad sare
- Taageero ka timaadda United States
Laakiin caqabado ayaa jira:
- Kala duwanaansho siyaasadeed
- Diyaargarow milatari oo dalba dal ka duwan
- Suurtagalnimada dagaal dheer oo dhaqaale burburin kara Yurub
Yurub ma diyaar baa?
Dagaalka Ukraine wuxuu ku qasbay dalal badan oo Yurub ah inay kordhiyaan miisaaniyaddooda difaaca. Germany, France iyo United Kingdom ayaa bilaabay qorshayaal dib-u-hubeyn ah.
Si kastaba, su’aasha weli taagan waa:
Haddii weerar lama filaan ah dhaco, intee ayay NATO ku qaadan doontaa inay si buuxda uga jawaabto?
Khubaro badan ayaa sheegaya in jawaabtu ku xirnaan doonto:
- Meesha la weeraro
- Sida weerarku u bilowdo (degdeg ama tartiib)
- Midnimada siyaasadeed ee xubnaha NATO
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